CLEVELAND — I wasn't able to run this column last week, but went 3-0 with my NFL picks on Chalk Talk, which we'll count toward my season total. After a 7-9 Week 4, my season total now sits at 36-30-1. Let's improve my winning record with my Week 6 picks.
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Philadelphia Eagles (+7) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pick: Buccaneers -7
I've been skeptical of the Eagles all season and I see no reason to stop now. Tampa Bay rolls as Tom Brady catapults to the top of the MVP discussion.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) vs. Miami Dolphins
Pick: Dolphins -3.5
Urban Meyer's NFL struggles have been well documented and now he has to prepare his team for a trip overseas? Miami's been disappointing but has enough talent to beat up on arguably the most dysfunctional team in the NFL.
Indianapolis Colts (-10) vs. Houston Texans
Pick: Texans +10
I'm not sure the Colts should be favored by double-digits against anyone -- even the lowly Colts.
Chicago Bears (+5) vs. Green Bay Packers
Pick: Packers -5
It's one thing for Justin Fields to improve over the course of his rookie season. It's another to ask him to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers.
Washington Football Team (+6.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Pick: Chiefs -6.5
As shaky as the Chiefs have been, Patrick Mahomes is always capable of covering a less-than-a-touchdown spread. Especially in a spot where Kansas City needs to start stringing together some wins.
Carolina Panthers (+1.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings
Pick: Panthers +1.5
I'm so confused by this line that I almost feel inclined to go against my own instincts. Nevertheless, I'll take the Panthers -- who I think are better than the Vikings -- and the 1.5 points.
Baltimore Ravens (-3) vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Pick: Chargers +3
The Ravens are the luckiest 4-1 team I can remember in a while. Lucky will be harder to come by against Justin Herbert and a Chargers passing attack that's almost impossible to contain.
Detroit Lions (+3.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Pick: Bengals -3.5
The Lions have played harder than anyone could have imagined, but that loss to the Vikings might have broken them. After last week's loss to the Packers, this seems like a good bounce-back spot for Joe Burrow and the Bengals.
New York Giants (+9.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams
Pick: Rams -9.5
The Rams are coming off a long week and Daniel Jones is coming off a concussion and won't have Saquon Barkley in his backfield. I'd like to take the points at home, but I can't find a good reason to do so.
Cleveland Browns (-3) vs. Arizona Cardinals
Pick: Browns -3
The Cardinals are banged up while the formerly banged-up Browns are getting healthier. With Cleveland needing a win to keep pace in the division, this seems like as good of a spot as any for Arizona to lose its first game.
Denver Broncos (-3.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Pick: Raiders +3.5
I'm not reading too much into Jon Gruden's resignation having an impact on the Raiders this week. Meanwhile, I think the Broncos have been exposed as one of this season's fake good teams.
New England Patriots (+3.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys
Pick: Cowboys -3.5
I don't know what to make of the Patriots at this point in the season. But one thing I do know is that they don't have the offensive firepower to keep pace with the Cowboys on a consistent basis.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-5) vs. Seattle Seahawks
Pick: Seahawks +5
The drop from Russell Wilson to Geno Smith is significant, but the Seahawks have had 10 days off to prepare for it. I can't, in good faith, take the Steelers to cover by more than a field goal against a quality team.
Tennessee Titans (+5.5) vs. Buffalo Bills
Pick: Titans +5
The Bills can't keep blowing everyone out, can they? I expect Buffalo to win, but for Derrick Henry to do his part to keep Tennessee close.